Thirsty-Operation
0xc51f9c8bceb7bb7759c7beaad61d371613c26065
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?
507 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
259 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on December 5, 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on December 5, 2025?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.54Dec 6, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on December 5, 2025?$1.00Dec 6, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on December 5, 2025?$1.00Dec 6, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?$2.00Dec 6, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$1.00Dec 6, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?$6.25Dec 6, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Nov 22, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?$1.00Nov 22, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case in 2025?$1.00Nov 22, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?$1.00Nov 22, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 21 2025?$2.00Nov 22, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 22, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$6.69Nov 22, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$4.00Nov 20, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Nov 20, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$2.00Nov 20, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?$0.00Nov 20, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?$0.00Nov 20, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?$6.82Nov 20, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 19?$1.00Nov 19, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 06:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".