Giving-Dip
0xc52fb5f6ed9324da36268d9ebd7798e0942464ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.2K
Realised
$-595.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
35714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
10565 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
9017 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Democratic sweep?
8824 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3PM ET
3434 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
3138 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
2857 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
2276 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-496.36
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2041 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
1870 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-495.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$3.3KJul 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$120.83Jul 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$398.29Jul 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.0KJul 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?$965.45Mar 4, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$800.00Mar 4, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?$300.00Mar 4, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$500.00Mar 4, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.2KFeb 28, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$500.00Feb 21, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1000.00Feb 18, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$2.6KFeb 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$5.3KFeb 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$363.04Feb 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.4KFeb 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$746.03Feb 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$500.00Feb 17, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3PM ET$200.00Feb 16, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Feb 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$4.7KFeb 16, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $879.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 17:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.