Grumpy-External
0xc53351c75fc27648f5148ccfa5fa25f6d5f1b298
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$91.27
Total PnL
$-9.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
91 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$91.27
$0.27
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 20?
993 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 2?
808 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?
573 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model on October 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- FEVER
Fever vs. Aces
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$91.01Jun 6, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 27?$1.00Jun 6, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$1.10Jun 6, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 28?$89.09Jun 6, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 28?$89.01May 27, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 27?$1.00May 27, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$1.10May 27, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$2.14May 27, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$93.19May 27, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$93.01May 22, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$93.09May 22, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$93.01May 17, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?$1.28May 17, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 11?$1.10May 17, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$1.20May 17, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$5.01May 17, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$87.09May 17, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$87.00May 11, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 11?$1.10May 11, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$1.20May 11, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $63.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.