Mealy-Grant
0xc53fb110fba91e64e78aca461de21bd8d40e5c8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
135
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-230.34
Realised
$-15.19
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 25?
1041 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 10?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 27?
81 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 10?
57 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 28?
50 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 29?
40 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 29?
38 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 27?
32 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 9?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 8?
29 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 16?$0.04Jun 16, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 16?$0.10Jun 16, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 16?$0.13Jun 16, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 16?$0.15Jun 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?$0.37Jun 16, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 15?$12.17Jun 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 15?$12.48Jun 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 15?$11.07Jun 15, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 15?$11.62Jun 15, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 15?$9.17Jun 15, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?$9.21Jun 15, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?$7.09Jun 15, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 14?$6.75Jun 14, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 14?$6.04Jun 14, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 14?$0.19Jun 14, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 14?$0.26Jun 14, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 14?$5.07Jun 14, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13?$4.90Jun 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13?$4.04Jun 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13?$4.65Jun 13, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 01:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.