Fortunate-Semantics
0xc5475bd7165a6c34c66e2dad59d8315d2c4801ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
36085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-81.12
- YES
Will António José Seguro win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
28411 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-74.69
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
8368 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-113.69
- NO
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?
5613 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-303.23
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
5551 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-360.16
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
5067 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-55.99
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
4243 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-86.96
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?
2119 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-27.06
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$853.45Feb 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?$161.16Feb 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$241.59Feb 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$302.50Feb 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?$4.68Feb 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$291.18Feb 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$20.79Feb 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$473.53Feb 12, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?$104.55Feb 12, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?$0.01Feb 8, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?$0.08Feb 8, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$45.88Feb 8, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$25.00Feb 8, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?$2.00Feb 8, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?$34.84Feb 8, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?$17.16Feb 8, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?$330.00Feb 8, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?$150.00Feb 8, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?$43.25Feb 7, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?$60.43Feb 7, 23:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $69.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 19:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".