0xc552fafb5940a69b80ec885ab2dc957fd11cc3ab
0xc552fafb5940a69b80ec885ab2dc957fd11cc3ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$46.66
Total PnL
$-875.91
Realised
$-82.88
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?
23 shares @ 18.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$23.38
$19.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 72°F or higher on April 3?
15 shares @ 33.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$15.28
$10.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?
8 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.00
$6.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 24?
732 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-26.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on February 24?
586 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-75.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 19?
341 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 22?
191 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 35°F or below on February 19?
182 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 5?
145 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 19?
141 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?$1.33May 30, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 30?$5.18May 29, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 30?$4.35May 28, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 30?$5.17May 28, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?$1.41May 28, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?$1.64May 27, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?$1.42May 27, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?$5.17May 20, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 19?$5.23May 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 12?$5.17May 11, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 13?$4.06May 11, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 13?$5.20May 11, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 9?$5.22May 9, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?$1.69May 9, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 18?$5.15Apr 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 18?$2.44Apr 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 18?$2.92Apr 17, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 17?$2.20Apr 17, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 50°F or higher on April 18?$7.82Apr 16, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 16?$2.37Apr 16, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.