Cautious-Identity
0xc55de63a10b9ed700e820c7d977a41b0b8bdd204
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$64.05
Total PnL
$-45.58
Realised
$-22.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on June 8?
59 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$59.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on June 4?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$4.99
$0.00
- YES
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?
266 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.78
- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
46 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on June 8?$59.00Jun 7, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on June 4?$4.99Jun 2, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on April 11?$64.06May 18, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on April 21?$32.82May 18, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$0.00May 18, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on April 24?$67.10May 18, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$0.00May 18, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on April 24?$67.00Apr 22, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on April 21?$32.77Apr 20, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on April 11?$64.00Apr 9, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on April 5?$32.03Apr 5, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on April 5?$32.00Apr 4, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C or below on April 4?$79.08Apr 4, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C or below on April 4?$79.00Apr 3, 06:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 3, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C or below on April 3?$35.03Apr 2, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$666.47Apr 2, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C or below on April 3?$35.00Apr 2, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$667.16Apr 2, 09:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 2, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $363.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 19:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.