Imperturbable-Generator
0xc5612ad7088e18c8ac9746df9f31dec91236fa80
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$90.96
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
500 shares @ 91.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$452.50
$-5.00
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$437.50
$2.50
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$407.45
$-2.55
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
471 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$294.57
$-2.36
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
339 shares @ 66.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$279.90
$54.15
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
500 shares @ 61.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$277.49
$-27.50
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
350 shares @ 69.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$257.25
$14.58
- NO
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
300 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$247.50
$-13.50
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
250 shares @ 82.5¢·now 84.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$212.13
$5.88
- NO
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
250 shares @ 84.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$198.75
$-11.25
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.06Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$435.00Jul 10, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$227.50Jul 10, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$210.00Jul 10, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$230.00Jul 10, 12:33 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.54Jul 10, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$7.18Jul 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$41.74Jul 9, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$7.03Jul 9, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$212.23Jul 9, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$144.11Jul 9, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$206.25Jul 9, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$7.92Jul 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$7.92Jul 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$7.92Jul 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$12.91Jul 9, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$41.06Jul 9, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$126.00Jul 9, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$4.54Jul 9, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$0.04Jul 9, 02:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $102.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 17:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.