Sleepy-Neighbour
0xc5802365019f4397e809b352d34e9c265aa7371e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$122.18
Total PnL
$-181.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
130 shares @ 56.8¢·now 87.2¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$113.30
$39.40
- YES
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?
25 shares @ 38.3¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$8.89
$-0.69
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
475 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
296 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-23.60
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
171 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
160 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
141 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
118 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-7.08
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
77 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-6.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$0.00Jul 19, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$211.27Jul 19, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$152.17Jul 19, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$41.10Jul 19, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?$2.08Jul 19, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-09?$93.64Jul 9, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$60.67Jul 9, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?$9.48Jul 9, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$74.86Jul 8, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?$7.67Jul 8, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?$25.63Jul 4, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$230.41Jun 24, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$201.38Jun 24, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$289.86Jun 20, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$201.86Jun 20, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$471.00Jun 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$414.48Jun 19, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Canada (-4.5)$77.04Jun 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-4.5)$50.53Jun 18, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$311.54Jun 6, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $49.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.