Aching-Icing
0xc58227ca5ba6b6a2e9a36dd66ffe61645662fcd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$96.20
Total PnL
$-21.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
95 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$94.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.25
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 6?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 28?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 24?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PANTHERS
Ducks vs. Panthers
18 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-11.60
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$95.00May 14, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost ≥$3.75 in April?$1.00May 14, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$94.09May 14, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$94.01May 12, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?$94.09May 12, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?$94.01May 8, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?$1.17May 8, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 3?$1.20May 8, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?$92.09May 8, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?$92.01May 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost ≥$3.75 in April?$1.00May 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 3?$1.20May 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?$1.17May 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.25May 3, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00May 3, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$1.19May 3, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$94.09May 3, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$94.00Apr 27, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$94.09Apr 27, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$94.00Apr 22, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $58.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".