Unused-Flour
0xc5838e8697ce9ba02ab25d536f45ab675fa60776
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-80.28
Realised
$1.03
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
314 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
188 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
136 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
41 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 11?
40 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
34 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.93
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 11?
26 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.00Apr 7, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.95Apr 7, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$2.00Apr 7, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.04Apr 7, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.00Apr 7, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.38Apr 7, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.00Apr 7, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.41Mar 24, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.00Mar 22, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$0.18Mar 20, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Mar 20, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.