Untried-Cardboard
0xc597a7a8438c94c7c34fb71c0c2ca00fa7d6c695
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-669.77
Realised
$-2.59
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- FUT ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
3450 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- SPIRIT
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
2640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- UNDER
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5
1954 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- DALLAS WINGS
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx
1950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- NO
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5
381 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 10?
141 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- SEGUNDO GOITY ZAPICO
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria
102 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?$3.09Jun 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$2.38Jun 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$1.85Jun 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTread FDV above $150M one day after launch$1.40Jun 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?$1.20Jun 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?$1.34Jun 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.30Jun 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$1.14Jun 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$1.13Jun 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLEdi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?$1.08Jun 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$1.05Jun 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$1.04Jun 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?$0.96Jun 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLTread FDV above $80M one day after launch$0.93Jun 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?$0.89Jun 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?$0.93Jun 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?$0.86Jun 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -3% and -1.5%?$0.88Jun 18, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?$0.83Jun 18, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.