Cautious-Barbeque
0xc59c1b7561b9754d07223348103016d0adf8bd81
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.14
Realised
$-0.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 10?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?
55 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Iranian coup attempt before July?
46 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Bikinis back on X by January 16?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?
35 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.79Feb 12, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$0.88Feb 12, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.03Feb 12, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$2.00Feb 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.28 in February?$0.07Feb 10, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.28 in February?$1.00Feb 10, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 10?$2.00Feb 10, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$9.04Feb 9, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$9.00Feb 9, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$1.45Feb 9, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?$0.02Feb 9, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?$1.00Feb 7, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?$1.00Feb 7, 23:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 23:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".