Astonishing-Setback
0xc59f04bcf59904a83fd66d9e5cfafcf0ee92c364
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$58.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
3710 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-358.41
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
2507 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.87
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?
1016 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-653.29
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?
1000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-470.00
- YES
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
675 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-425.25
- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
355 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-220.10
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Trump" 3+ times during Colbert show on July 31?
257 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-119.17
- NO
Will Trump say "Brazil" this week?
250 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?
250 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-42.50
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
107 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?$7.73Jan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$25.00Jan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court vacancy in 2025?$42.66Jan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$89.21Jan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$103.52Jan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$166.63Jan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$247.33Jan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$352.00Jan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$880.13Jan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$1.7KJan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMGaza mass population relocation in 2025?$1.7KJan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$2.3KJan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$2.5KJan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.0KJan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.0KJan 1, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.8KNov 5, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.9KNov 5, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$103.14Nov 2, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$676.60Oct 12, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel carry out an airstrike on the West Bank by September 30?$1.1KOct 12, 03:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $113.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 10:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".