Pricey-Guarantee
0xc5aabc472e3a2b6ba530aa51ff5b4ee41b39ff55
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.64
Total PnL
$-25.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Kamala get more votes than Biden?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?
47 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Pennsylvania be the closest state?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1.0%?
12 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
11 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump get 82-84m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?$8.33Jan 7, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wisconsin be the closest state? $38.79Jan 7, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan be the closest state? $0.00Dec 2, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?$1.72Dec 2, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harris win Maine by 5+ points?$0.00Nov 30, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?$0.00Nov 30, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?$0.00Nov 30, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic candidate win Michigan by 0%-1.0%?$0.00Nov 30, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have 50 seats in Senate after election?$0.00Nov 30, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nevada be the closest state?$0.00Nov 30, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 3.0%-4.0%?$8.33Nov 30, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 0%-1.0%? $40.31Nov 25, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMHouse control after 2024 election?$0.00Nov 25, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMHouse control after 2024 election?$21.15Nov 25, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Georgia by 2.0%-3.0%?$45.45Nov 25, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$0.00Nov 21, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$0.00Nov 21, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$25.55Nov 21, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$37.88Nov 21, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 30% of Black men?$0.00Nov 12, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $11.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.