Parched-Sail
0xc5b3dff04146772483485ee1a033889a6a9556b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$27.53
Total PnL
$-129.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
28 shares @ 90.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$27.53
$2.59
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 17?
225 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will Threads be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
156 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 27?
137 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
121 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 26?
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?
116 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 20?
106 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 27?
106 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 23?
101 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 17?$3.37Jul 16, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Witch hunt" this week? (March 8)$30.00Jul 7, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 5?$176.46Jun 5, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 5?$6.28Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 5?$168.95Jun 4, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?$33.50Jun 4, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 8?$33.99May 28, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMTom Lee mindshare all time high by March 31?$148.50May 22, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 20?$3.28May 20, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 20?$197.66May 15, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 8?$192.10May 8, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 8?$2.09May 8, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 8?$188.86May 7, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hang Seng (HSI) hit 20400 (LOW) in March?$204.48May 7, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.00May 1, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 26?$2.16Apr 25, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 17?$0.00Apr 25, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 20?$195.68Apr 19, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.50 March 23-29?$220.00Apr 17, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 23?$0.00Apr 11, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $63.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 07:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 18:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.