Overlooked-Community
0xc5bb065100a62d8b2c8d572a1915d27ecb4c23d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.59
Total PnL
$0.41
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.52
$0.21
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.74
$0.14
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.67
$0.06
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.66
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$3.32Aug 15, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.33Jul 24, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$1.62Jul 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$1.60Jul 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$1.65Jul 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.30Jul 6, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.20Jun 30, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.01Jun 28, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$2.72Jun 21, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$2.15May 29, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.99May 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.26Apr 30, 04:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 04:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.