Hot-Sturgeon
0xc5bc8ed0545ae82ff2faff971539c3aac594135b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$57.11
Total PnL
$-14.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
33 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$33.02
$11.89
- YES
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$24.10
$4.10
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$20.00Nov 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$10.00Nov 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$21.13Nov 4, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$74.93Nov 4, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$86.21Nov 4, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$69.98Aug 5, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$10.00Aug 3, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$20.00Aug 3, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $25.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".