Warm-Rider
0xc5c53a9401c22520feecd4b18546a32c794a48fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-104.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in October 2025?
465 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.46
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?
50 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-32.50
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
25 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.75
- LEONARD
Les Sables d'Olonne: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Manon Leonard
15 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
12 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- LAKERS
Spurs vs. Lakers
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.90
- YES
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
- NO
US bank failure by January 31?
9 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLes Sables d'Olonne: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Manon Leonard$11.25Feb 19, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?$15.00Feb 19, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?$9.30Feb 8, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$7.00Feb 8, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In$12.00Feb 8, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In$9.24Jan 28, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?$25.00Jan 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?$18.00Jan 21, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Pistons$11.00Jan 21, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Pistons$7.92Jan 15, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$8.00Jan 15, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$6.75Jan 13, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.81Jan 12, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?$3.84Jan 8, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLRockets vs. Trail Blazers$5.68Jan 8, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by January 31?$8.46Jan 7, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMHong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wu$7.00Jan 7, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Trail Blazers$5.60Jan 7, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wu$4.41Jan 7, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$5.36Jan 7, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $8.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".