0xc5d722a58bf24511f04fdafe04074282d3aa8db9
0xc5d722a58bf24511f04fdafe04074282d3aa8db9
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
11514 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-388.79
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
10129 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-114.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
10027 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-311.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
10000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-147.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
9904 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-89.39
- YES
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
6300 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-119.69
- YES
Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
4408 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-157.51
- YES
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?
2935 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-330.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
2294 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-98.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$10.15Dec 20, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$0.77Dec 20, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$0.45Dec 20, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$0.18Dec 20, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$0.77Dec 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$64.85Dec 20, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$21.15Dec 20, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$42.12Dec 13, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$26.21Dec 13, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$37.52Dec 13, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$51.57Dec 13, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$10.07Dec 13, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$124.66Dec 7, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in 2024?$63.62Dec 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in 2024?$19.97Dec 7, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in 2024?$0.02Dec 7, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in 2024?$582.60Dec 7, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$201.38Dec 5, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$201.37Nov 30, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in 2024?$288.15Nov 26, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $71.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 07:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.