0xc5d9f337855e95918923aea1c62d9a0aba88d385
0xc5d9f337855e95918923aea1c62d9a0aba88d385
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-616.73
Realised
$-57.96
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or higher on April 8?
433 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 6?
373 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 9?
89 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 6?
73 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on April 8?
46 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.75
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
17 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?
17 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
10 shares @ 85.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.52
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
9 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$3.86Jun 26, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.00Jun 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$3.67Jun 26, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$3.77Jun 26, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Jun 26, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$3.39Jun 26, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.00Jun 26, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$3.91Jun 26, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.01Jun 26, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$3.97Jun 26, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.00Jun 26, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$3.91Jun 26, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.00Jun 26, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$3.86Jun 26, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.00Jun 26, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.00Jun 26, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.36Jun 26, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$3.55Jun 26, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$3.91Jun 26, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$3.86Jun 26, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 23:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 23:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.