Half-Crowd
0xc5db20834867beb92f43c73b54b6927e20cb0022
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-813.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 23 above $162?
481 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-52.86
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?
252 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-12.60
- YES
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
249 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-23.62
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 29-October 5?
226 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-7.90
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $160-$162 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
212 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-21.16
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475-$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?
206 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-54.34
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?
200 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-32.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 25?
200 shares @ 83.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-166.67
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 5?
200 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 5 above $500?
193 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-14.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)$148.81Apr 13, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)$129.46Apr 8, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-04-03?$181.09Apr 5, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-04-03?$135.82Mar 30, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMReal Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5$129.74Mar 30, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5$107.68Mar 25, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $160-$162 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$21.16Mar 25, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYVissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 4.5$34.36Mar 24, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 23 above $162?$52.86Mar 23, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMSC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5$201.39Mar 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5$153.06Mar 16, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$158.91Mar 16, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?$23.62Mar 7, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 21?$1.80Feb 20, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 21?$4.38Feb 18, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "28 Years Later" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$1.37Feb 17, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erika Kirk attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$3.85Feb 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HEROIC win Blast Slam VI? $12.32Feb 12, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$6.84Feb 12, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 9 above $255?$7.22Feb 11, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $64.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".