Sparse-Soldier
0xc5db46daa1c7d700768d2f22265d57170ca68330
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$32.95
Total PnL
$2.92
Realised
$0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
13 shares @ 87.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$12.80
$1.57
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$11.12
$1.22
- RASMR
RASMR vs. Threadguy
18 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$9.03
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$495.58Jan 20, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$496.08Jan 19, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$496.09Jan 19, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$496.59Jan 18, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRASMR vs. Threadguy$9.03Jan 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$8.90Jan 5, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$10.00Dec 24, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$5.00Dec 22, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$5.00Dec 22, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$4.90Dec 22, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$5.00Dec 22, 18:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $184.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.