Alarming-Nightlight
0xc5e1cfb91c4df000765d2f280b2b541e71f20e70
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$9.06
Total PnL
$1.75
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Dragan Primorac be the next President of Croatia?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$2.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
2 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Jan Topić win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1 shares @ 46.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$1.16
$0.62
- YES
Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?
2 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$0.71Dec 27, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada join US as 51st state before July?$0.58Dec 22, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?$0.20Dec 22, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?$0.02Dec 22, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged before April?$0.01Dec 22, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI sue Elon Musk before 2025?$0.20Dec 15, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?$1.00Dec 15, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be the next President of Ghana?$2.01Dec 15, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill NPP win the most seats in the Ghanaian parliamentary election?$0.00Dec 15, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?$0.00Dec 7, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$0.08Dec 5, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$0.04Dec 5, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in December?$0.01Dec 5, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?$0.04Dec 5, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$0.50Dec 5, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$2.00Dec 5, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?$0.02Dec 5, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jan Topić win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $2.00Dec 5, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dragan Primorac be the next President of Croatia?$2.00Dec 5, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.00Dec 5, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $0.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 27, 23:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".