Cautious-Wombat
0xc5e2bad2c3b8fc6a9814a4e10b358a2c83ef675e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-138.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
41 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
35 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$8.12Jun 11, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$5.11Jun 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$10.10Jun 11, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$6.52Jun 8, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$17.65Jun 8, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$3.05Jun 5, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$3.07Jun 2, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$3.08Jun 2, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 30, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 28, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 28, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$14.10Jan 23, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$12.00Jan 22, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$26.10Jan 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$19.84Jan 21, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 20, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 20, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$19.84Jan 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$14.88Jan 20, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.44Jan 19, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.