Wallet digest

Activity score

47/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$16.27

Total PnL

$-27.73

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 20

NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026
$16.27
$-3.73
YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Fed rate cut by September 18?
85 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity30 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry5 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk65 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 0
Avg trade size: $0.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 11, 00:13 UTC
Last active: Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 05:25:02 UTC·src:Polymarket Data