Sturdy-Vanilla
0xc5f04b4b1967c27df5a4c12df8ea223848d7c5c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-165.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
230000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-230.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
133560 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-259.24
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
110627 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-281.99
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,500 on March 8?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
49620 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-49.62
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
28439 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.98
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
6750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8PM ET
2155 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-99.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
1214 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-99.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?$443.99May 24, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?$449.00May 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$449.19May 23, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$222.00May 20, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$41.37Apr 3, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$42.50Apr 3, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$30.18Apr 3, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$31.54Apr 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$26.53Apr 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$27.21Apr 3, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$23.29Apr 3, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$99.64Mar 17, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$182.42Mar 15, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$195.24Mar 13, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$374.15Mar 13, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)$49.62Mar 11, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$37.37Mar 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$37.36Mar 11, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$93.41Mar 11, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$93.42Mar 11, 01:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $195.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".