0xc60cd8ed7bb159542d9ae8a9b390999cc82acdee
0xc60cd8ed7bb159542d9ae8a9b390999cc82acdee
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.99
Total PnL
$-409.86
Realised
$-67.25
Win rate
6%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 24.6¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.99
$-0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C or higher on May 26?
939 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?
590 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 17?
580 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
309 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27?
308 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 17?
230 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 18?
195 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-52.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 25?
181 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.75
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 26?$0.00Jun 1, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26?$0.00May 31, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 25?$0.00May 28, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 27?$0.00May 28, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 27?$0.00May 28, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?$0.00May 27, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27?$0.00May 27, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 26?$0.01May 27, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?$0.00May 27, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?$0.00May 26, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 26?$0.00May 26, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on May 26?$9.39May 26, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?$5.19May 26, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?$11.74May 26, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?$1.35May 26, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?$11.62May 26, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?$6.48May 26, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?$20.13May 26, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?$1.35May 26, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 27?$3.46May 26, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $8.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 12:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.