Adventurous-Lament
0xc613e6707bd115e5c04d303d944568232697662b
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.63
Total PnL
$40.98
Realised
$264.93
Win rate
100%
123 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1257 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.79
- YES
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
3509 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
- YES
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- YES
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2736 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.74
- YES
Will Geno Smith win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
2724 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
2496 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Australian Open?
2466 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- YES
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2414 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2363 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Will John Harbaugh join the Atlanta Falcons prior to April 23, 2026?
2263 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$2.69May 11, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darnell Nurse win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$0.03Apr 22, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dodi Lukebakio be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$0.06Apr 16, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dodi Lukebakio be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$0.25Apr 16, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phil Parrish win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$0.02Apr 14, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$0.18Apr 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylen Green be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.04Apr 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylen Green be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.19Apr 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.79Apr 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Santiago Hidalgo be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$0.22Apr 13, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?$0.03Apr 9, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Philippe Mateta be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.13Apr 9, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Philippe Mateta be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.02Apr 9, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Philippe Mateta be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.57Apr 9, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?$0.03Apr 9, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$0.05Apr 9, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.05Apr 7, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.05Apr 4, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.24Apr 4, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Betsy McCaughey win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.07Apr 4, 11:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 123 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".