Arid-Washtub
0xc616275f2c01c8fae93cf74d59b0205c2850ca17
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.76
Realised
$-0.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
998 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Yi Wei win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
97 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
65 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
27 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
17 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
16 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
12 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.81
- YES
Will Matthias Bluebaum win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
7 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Apr 11, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.00Apr 11, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.10Apr 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.22Apr 11, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$0.46Apr 11, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.01Apr 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$3.47Apr 11, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$11.03Apr 11, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$2.00Apr 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$10.00Apr 11, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$4.29Apr 11, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$11.39Apr 11, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.00Apr 11, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$2.00Apr 11, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.00Apr 11, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 15:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.