Better-Downgrade
0xc61d0b7aebbcb53531bde3a774053e4a59002364
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$30.10
Total PnL
$0.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
20 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$20.00
$5.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- YES
Bill Clinton charged by March 31?
58 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
20 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$14.20Mar 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$3.11Mar 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$10.00Mar 18, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 18, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 18, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?$0.00Mar 18, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?$0.00Mar 18, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 18, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?$5.32Mar 18, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$10.00Mar 18, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$11.49Mar 18, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.99Mar 16, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$2.10Mar 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$2.96Mar 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$3.50Mar 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?$1.00Mar 4, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?$5.00Mar 4, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$10.00Mar 4, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?$1.00Feb 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton charged by March 31?$2.00Feb 11, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $4.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".