Elastic-Dilapidation
0xc62959dd7352fd9d4cc36938652cfa692f558ec6
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.05
Total PnL
$-91.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
3 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 5?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 7?
375 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
367 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 October 6-12?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 10?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$48.05Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$61.31Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$48.00Jun 4, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?$1.07Jun 4, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$61.02Jun 4, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$16.02Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$16.00Jun 2, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?$110.11May 28, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$1.05May 26, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?$110.01May 26, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?$111.11May 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?$111.01May 24, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$110.11May 22, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$110.01May 21, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$110.22May 21, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$110.01May 10, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 7?$110.22May 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 7?$110.01May 7, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$110.11May 7, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$110.01May 3, 12:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $76.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.