Superficial-Context
0xc648479020b83afda7b7a92cfddce868b499af3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$79.15
Total PnL
$-211.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$27.78
$17.78
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$23.81
$13.81
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$12.00
$1.00
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Google say "Search Advertising" or "Search Ad" during earnings call?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
175 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
167 shares @ 70.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-117.00
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 27?$1.90Jan 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$10.00Jan 27, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google say "Search Advertising" or "Search Ad" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 27, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ego" in January?$1.00Jan 27, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$10.00Jan 27, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 27?$10.00Jan 27, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27?$1.00Jan 27, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$1.00Jan 27, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 January 26-1?$10.00Jan 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$10.00Jan 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?$11.00Jan 26, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Jan 26, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00Jan 26, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$97.00Jan 25, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$96.00Jan 25, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $18.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.