Velvety-Unity
0xc64f063221c57ce8b9e5dab34c649b506e064d92
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-304.92
Realised
$-49.64
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?
201 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 25?
189 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?
121 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
106 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 27?
90 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?
86 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-83.81
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 28?
81 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 26?
78 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 27?
78 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?
78 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$3.00Jul 14, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 7?$1.68Jul 7, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?$46.03Jul 3, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?$39.96Jul 3, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?$4.87Jul 3, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 25?$2.22Jun 25, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$2.67May 31, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?$55.82May 28, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?$53.25May 28, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 26?$2.18May 26, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 25?$1.78May 24, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$1.58May 15, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 11?$47.84May 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 11?$0.15May 11, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 11?$46.45May 11, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 28?$2.14Apr 27, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 19?$63.47Apr 27, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 19?$0.07Apr 19, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 19?$60.23Apr 19, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$59.40Apr 17, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $24.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.