Lively-Figure
0xc65071f006dbd81db49803812317065e8b0855a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-106.05
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UNDER
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
376 shares @ 74.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-280.80
- UNDER
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5
315 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-179.47
- NO
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?
307 shares @ 89.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-274.30
- NO
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
272 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-161.57
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
239 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-96.75
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
232 shares @ 85.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-198.72
- QATAR
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)
209 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-116.53
- OVER
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5
200 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-62.52
- NO
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
192 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-105.71
- NO
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?
172 shares @ 87.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-150.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMPrague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat$17.00Aug 18, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMRoehampton: Michael Geerts vs Billy Blaydes$2.00Aug 18, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat$7.77Aug 18, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolras$1.02Aug 18, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat$4.76Aug 18, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat$1.90Aug 18, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat$1.77Aug 18, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMSion: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Marvin Moeller$30.00Aug 18, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoehampton: Michael Geerts vs Billy Blaydes$1.44Aug 18, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMPrague 2: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Martin Krumich$2.00Aug 18, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSion: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Marvin Moeller$20.14Aug 18, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSion: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Marvin Moeller$3.41Aug 18, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSion: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Marvin Moeller$1.32Aug 18, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrague 2: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Martin Krumich$1.65Aug 18, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMITF W50 Prague Women: Nastasja Schunk vs Gaeul Jang$3.00Aug 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF W50 Prague Women: Nastasja Schunk vs Gaeul Jang$2.63Aug 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF M25 Santander Men: Yaroslav Demin vs Carles Hernandez$1.58Aug 18, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-17?$6.00Aug 18, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Club Puebla (-2.5)$6.01Aug 18, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMCF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5$3.00Aug 18, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.