Playful-Collateral
0xc6628e0ca87e439bba57294dc8fd7a503a7bb919
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$21.5K
Total PnL
$3.0K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
4280 shares @ 84.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.1K
$487.13
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
3799 shares @ 88.1¢·now 91.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$135.61
- NO
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
2660 shares @ 71.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.8K
$-88.76
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
1688 shares @ 83.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.4K
$1.32
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
1400 shares @ 95.6¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$21.90
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
1406 shares @ 67.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$250.19
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
1205 shares @ 88.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$52.52
- NO
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?
1098 shares @ 90.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.0K
$34.52
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
1001 shares @ 87.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$915.58
$38.39
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
970 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$897.02
$4.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?$28.70Jun 13, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?$66.92Jun 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?$223.46Jun 13, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$154.46Jun 13, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$221.14Jun 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$676.97Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$243.86Jun 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$21.80Jun 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$83.20Jun 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$103.20Jun 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$653.60Jun 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$20.00Jun 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.30Jun 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$870.00Jun 13, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?$128.78Jun 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$389.08Jun 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.21Jun 13, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?$348.53Jun 13, 06:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $138.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.