Definite-Maker
0xc6657dbd8c7e6a1e992cd76da68e89cd9ff1fa7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq before November?$1.47Oct 29, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS bank failure before December?$0.16Oct 29, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.17Oct 29, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?$0.18Oct 29, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?$0.19Oct 29, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win men?$0.19Oct 29, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump get more votes than 2020?$0.23Oct 29, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon before December?$0.34Oct 29, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq before November?$0.54Oct 29, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Series Champion: Dodgers vs. Yankees$0.46Oct 29, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq before November?$1.50Oct 29, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?$0.87Oct 29, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 225-249 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.00Oct 29, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?$0.63Oct 29, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 200-224 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.00Oct 29, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Putin" during Georgia rally on October 28?$0.00Oct 29, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during Georgia rally on October 28?$0.00Oct 29, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Georgia rally on October 28?$0.00Oct 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq before November?$1.00Oct 29, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI delay announced before November?$0.17Oct 29, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 23:35 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.