Frizzy-Tabernacle
0xc66c217a908c37c20bd8839a44943e160bc736ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$313.61
Total PnL
$-177.03
Realised
$-137.21
Win rate
29%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?
195 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.43
$0.89
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?
245 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.80
$-0.04
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
180 shares @ 13.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.75
$-3.15
- YES
Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
90 shares @ 21.6¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$18.45
$-0.95
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.50
$-0.34
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
116 shares @ 13.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.60
$0.14
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 19.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.50
$-3.90
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?
110 shares @ 12.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.75
$0.31
- YES
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
110 shares @ 18.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.70
$-7.31
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?
98 shares @ 12.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.30
$0.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$8.89Jul 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?$7.21Jul 28, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?$2.12Jul 28, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$3.02Jul 28, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?$2.11Jul 28, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?$1.39Jul 28, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?$1.15Jul 28, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?$1.25Jul 28, 04:24 UTC
- REWARD$10.42Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?$6.50Jul 27, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?$5.00Jul 27, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$2.78Jul 27, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$6.00Jul 27, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$6.50Jul 27, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?$15.72Jul 27, 08:06 UTC
- REWARD$11.10Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$6.50Jul 26, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$5.16Jul 26, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$8.40Jul 26, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?$6.60Jul 26, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 11:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.