Incredible-Webinar
0xc66e2d71ef6660639be2900c52816111b7d74df0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-352.73
Realised
$-0.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
31102 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-285.67
- NO
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
2120 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
348 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
335 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?
176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
63 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.43
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
58 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
30 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$5.00Nov 12, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.11Nov 12, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.90Nov 12, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$4.00Nov 12, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$4.02Nov 12, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$2.00Nov 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$2.28Nov 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$2.91Nov 10, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$3.00Nov 10, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$5.71Nov 10, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$3.00Nov 10, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$0.56Nov 10, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$2.00Nov 9, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$2.00Nov 9, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$2.00Nov 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.00Nov 5, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.00Nov 4, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 4, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Nov 2, 21:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $11.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".