Elastic-Density
0xc67206e4a9d67fd10713770f6f672303b90d7ba6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.89
Realised
$0.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
149 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
112 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
106 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
25 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" 4+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hitler" or "Nazi" during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$3.50Nov 19, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$1.10Nov 19, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Oct 30, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 27, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 27, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$0.00Oct 8, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?$0.81Oct 7, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 1, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$4.00Sep 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Sep 22, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$2.00Sep 22, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?$1.00Sep 22, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?$1.19Sep 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?$1.00Sep 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?$0.84Sep 17, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.61Sep 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Sep 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?$1.00Sep 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?$1.00Sep 16, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 16, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 09:27 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".