0xc6797cc79a5934a75806621d1440898adeb4c9ad
0xc6797cc79a5934a75806621d1440898adeb4c9ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$20.25
Total PnL
$-16.62
Realised
$-1.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 25?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$8.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 23?
4 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$4.17
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on April 25?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 26?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 26?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on April 24?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 25?
545 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.93
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on April 24?
265 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 24?
134 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 0°C or below on April 24?
97 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)$0.24Apr 26, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 26?$2.00Apr 26, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)$1.45Apr 26, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 26?$2.03Apr 26, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 26?$1.97Apr 26, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 26?$2.00Apr 26, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 26?$2.00Apr 26, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?$4.12Apr 26, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 25?$0.05Apr 25, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 25?$1.02Apr 25, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-2.5)$0.76Apr 25, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-2.5)$2.00Apr 25, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-2.5)$1.05Apr 25, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Amiens SC (-2.5)$0.37Apr 25, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Amiens SC (-2.5)$2.87Apr 25, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Amiens SC (-2.5)$2.00Apr 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Amiens SC (-2.5)$2.00Apr 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Amiens SC (-2.5)$1.19Apr 25, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 26?$3.84Apr 25, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 26?$1.54Apr 25, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.