Fair-Method
0xc681b3b3266180eb83a5a9d1c1e1d8933de40e34
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$284.12
Total PnL
$-171.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
538 shares @ 18.6¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$158.66
$58.66
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
74 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$24.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
28 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$23.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$20.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$19.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$18.91
$-1.09
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31?
840 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-98.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$86.02Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.13Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$80.17Jun 14, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$23.81Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$85.37Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.00Jun 14, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$70.38Jun 14, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$76.92Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$23.13Jun 10, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-27?$10.07Jun 10, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?$20.32Jun 10, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$20.05Jun 10, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$10.16Jun 10, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$20.44Jun 10, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$10.06Jun 10, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$20.28Jun 10, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$20.18Jun 10, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$25.49Jun 10, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$15.17Jun 10, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$102.31Jun 10, 22:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $38.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.