Insistent-Toast
0xc681b9df028b445a40c27b05c1f90d2d64b138ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$42.03
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$42.00May 20, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$43.12May 20, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$43.00Apr 10, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?$43.00Apr 10, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?$581.83Mar 19, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?$625.37Mar 19, 04:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 19, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18?$1.7KMar 18, 07:10 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18?$2.5KMar 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?$2.4KMar 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?$2.4KMar 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.5KMar 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.5KMar 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.9KMar 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$559.77Mar 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.9KMar 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$560.34Mar 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $50 in March?$549.57Mar 18, 06:41 UTC
- MERGEWill Solana reach $130 in March?$1.9KMar 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in March?$1.8KMar 18, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.