0xc6878c488c53172b81a3a6c52433845816804a46
0xc6878c488c53172b81a3a6c52433845816804a46
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$106.80
Total PnL
$-88.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
67 shares @ 74.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$66.80
$16.80
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
40 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$40.00
$10.40
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
783 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$42.00Mar 31, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$52.29Mar 31, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$62.97Mar 31, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$49.68Mar 8, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$49.77Mar 7, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$20.00Mar 4, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 4, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$51.00Mar 4, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 4, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$106.00Mar 4, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 4, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$29.60Feb 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$50.00Feb 27, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$10.00Feb 27, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.82Feb 26, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$4.18Feb 26, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$56.18Feb 26, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$19.04Feb 25, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.66Feb 25, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.30Feb 25, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $35.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 20:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 00:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.