Expensive-Bagel
0xc6939dc3a2f2ab3566847d32209755e94927a824
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$31.47
Total PnL
$3.47
Realised
$0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
10 shares @ 82.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$1.78
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.86
$0.03
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.36
$0.08
- NO
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.31
$1.16
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.18
$0.04
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.05
$0.25
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.45
$0.09
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.27
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.85Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.82Jun 6, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$1.84May 29, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.14May 23, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.36May 14, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.15Apr 23, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.25Apr 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.68Apr 15, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.54Apr 15, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.20Apr 11, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$5.22Mar 30, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$5.10Mar 28, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$5.83Mar 20, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.28Mar 13, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$8.22Mar 2, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $4.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 09:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.