Murky-Apparatus
0xc697dbe9b0ab96d129696d4a2d03cba783b15ea1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$8.57
Total PnL
$-26.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 15, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 8?$1.00Jan 4, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 4?$1.00Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?$1.00Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 7?$1.00Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?$1.01Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 3?$1.01Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.01Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.01Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?$1.01Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit another country first?$1.01Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25?$1.03Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?$1.05Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?$1.06Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.10Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.11Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24?$1.13Dec 26, 06:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 06:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".