Equal-Brass
0xc6a2910714d2febe8730f8386277641f7c1fc9b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$33.3K
Total PnL
$835.45
Realised
$-121.23
Win rate
52%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
4831 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.9K
$23.67
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
4359 shares @ 81.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.8K
$265.19
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?
4241 shares @ 63.9¢·now 69.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.9K
$217.44
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?
5417 shares @ 50.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.7K
$21.26
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?
3891 shares @ 41.8¢·now 61.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.4K
$746.54
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?
2666 shares @ 91.3¢·now 88.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.3K
$-88.21
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
6430 shares @ 30.2¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.9K
$-42.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
6431 shares @ 25.8¢·now 25.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.6K
$-52.97
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in July?
1849 shares @ 79.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.6K
$91.40
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in July?
1260 shares @ 87.3¢·now 92.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.2K
$68.15
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.36Jul 11, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?$9.21Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$13.32Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$75.12Jul 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?$78.00Jul 10, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$1.63Jul 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$0.77Jul 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$4.08Jul 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$3.68Jul 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?$48.34Jul 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$513.33Jul 10, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$137.74Jul 10, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?$404.70Jul 10, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?$52.84Jul 10, 08:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$11.19Jul 10, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.93Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$10.79Jul 10, 00:00 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
52% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $135.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.