Hard-Abnormality
0xc6a63ec18d14ded838cffa897eeeef1654854853
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- AUSTRALIA
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3AM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
468 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 3?
243 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
218 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 15?
214 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
195 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 3?$1.80Apr 2, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on April 2?$1.00Apr 2, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 2, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$1.00Apr 2, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.95Apr 2, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Apr 2, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.00Apr 1, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.00Apr 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$2.00Apr 1, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$5.80Feb 15, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$15.64Feb 15, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 16?$3.27Feb 15, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16?$4.15Feb 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 15, 2026?$5.35Feb 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 15?$12.89Feb 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$9.97Feb 15, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 15, 2026?$5.12Feb 15, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 15?$4.00Feb 15, 08:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".