Enormous-Screamer
0xc6afd988219e2bac8ebdd0f711b90aafbf1d05c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
8846 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-114.99
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
7589 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-166.99
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
5353 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-303.99
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
2686 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-265.00
- YES
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?
1644 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
1362 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-572.18
- PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN FC
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
1323 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-310.16
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
1264 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-410.88
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
758 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-368.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?
549 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-75.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$203.67Jul 19, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$64.45Jul 19, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$140.20Jul 19, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?$69.27Jul 19, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?$9.40Jul 19, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$20.74Jul 19, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?$7.34Jul 19, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$74.62Jul 19, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$32.56Jul 19, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$74.98Jul 19, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?$74.53Jul 19, 19:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$101.33Jul 18, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$51.20Jul 18, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$51.71Jul 18, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$103.65Jul 18, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?$51.27Jul 18, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 2+ goals$10.48Jul 18, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 3+ goals$9.44Jul 18, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$17.77Jul 18, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $99.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.