Mammoth-Fratricide
0xc6bd70e4d462ca1ce4360e47294671e997480b58
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.2K
Realised
$30.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
13262 shares @ 68.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.0K
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
4948 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
5 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$92.12Feb 26, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$29.55Feb 26, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.60Feb 26, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.05Feb 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.91Feb 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.91Feb 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.91Feb 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.00Feb 26, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$123.13Feb 26, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.74Feb 26, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$136.69Feb 26, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 26, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$997.90Feb 26, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.3KFeb 20, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$1.3KFeb 20, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$738.99Feb 13, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$30.00Feb 10, 16:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 10, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$28.50Feb 9, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$744.24Feb 9, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $289.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.